
Update 26/02/2025: Impact probability for Earth has been dropped to 0.00005% (1 in 20,000)… no word on moon impact but it will be threading the needle between Earth and the Moon in 2023.
Yesterday I heard a story on NPR about a space rock named 2024 YR4 that had at the time of the story 2.1% chance (1 in 47) of hitting earth on December 22 2032. That would be unfortunate, but let’s use this as a learning experience and explore!